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JPY, CHF Down as Bond Yields soar; G20 Meeting, Canada
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Kirjoittaja
Aihe: JPY, CHF Down as Bond Yields soar; G20 Meeting, Canada (Luettu 604 kertaa)
upamfva
JPY, CHF Down as Bond Yields soar; G20 Meeting, Canada
30.04.22 - 04:26
JPY, CHF Down as Bond Yields soar; G20 Meeting, Canada
On the one hand, investors were encouraged about the US economy yesterday thanks to higher-than-expected US housing starts. As the table above shows, they were expected to fall but instead rose slightly to the highest level since 2006.To get more news about
bdsmarkets
, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
The US housing market seemed to have shifted into a new equilibrium that depended on low interest rates, which made it likely that the Fed’s tightening would cause the market to crash and send the US economy into recession. Yesterday’s figure gives hope that housing may be shifting back into the previous pre-Global Financial Crisis state, when demand depended less on low interest rates. That reduces the odds that the Fed’s tightening will send the US economy crashing.
What surprises me though is just how low housing starts are. While they are above the long-term average of a 1.43mn annual pace, they are still well below the 2.27mn peak pace of 2006 not to mention the all-time peak of 2.48mn in 1973, when the population of the US was around 215mn vs over 330mn today. This explains why housing is so expensive in the US. It also suggests that starts can continue to rise if builders can find workers and materials (a big “if”).
US yields moved sharply higher as a result. US 30-year yields rose 5.4 bps to poke their nose over 3.0% intraday for the first time since early 2019. Ten-year German Bunds rose to 0.91%, the highest since 2015. They were negative as recently as March 7.
Without a similar surge in inflation expectations, this meant a big rise in real yields globally – except of course in Japan, helping to fuel the decline in the yen. The US real 10-year yield briefly traded in positive territory for the first time since the pandemic hit.
The surge in CHF yields may be due to yesterday’s comments by Swiss National Bank President Jordan, who said he thought the recent rise in Swiss inflation was temporary, but added that “there is a relatively big risk that some of this temporary inflation the feeds into permanent inflation…” It’s then a mystery why CHF was the worst-performing currency on the day when its 10-year yields jumped so much. Perhaps this represents a “catch-up” move on the part of CHF after JPY has weakened so much? Maybe it reflects the polls showing that French President Macron is likely to win in Sunday’s second-round election, which reduces the need for a safe-haven in Europe? Or maybe it’s just resurgent USD strength. USD/CHF rose to the highest level since June 2020.
On the other hand, markets were stunned by the International Monetary Fund (IMF)’s downward revision to its growth forecast. Its new World Economic Outlook cut the forecast for global growth this year to 3.6% from 4.4% estimated just in January and their forecast for next year to 3.6% also, down from 3.8%. The IMF revised down its forecast for the Eurozone by an especially steep 1.1 percentage points to 2.8% due to the indirect effects of the war.
A report from the American Petroleum Institute (API) that US oil inventories had fallen by 4.5mn barrels during the latest week helped to stop the decline in prices. Falling inventories suggest that demand for oil is exceeding the supply and is therefore bullish for oil.
The US Department of Energy will release the official figures later today – analysts had expected to see an increase in inventories of around 3.0mn barrels (see table below). It’s not unusual for the two series to diverge week-to-week although over the longer term these differences tend to even out and the two series trend together.
Kirjattu
wellthisisme
Vs: JPY, CHF Down as Bond Yields soar; G20 Meeting, Canada
Vastaus #1 08.07.22 - 21:12
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Kirjattu
wellthisisme
Vs: JPY, CHF Down as Bond Yields soar; G20 Meeting, Canada
Vastaus #2 04.09.22 - 21:00
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Kirjattu
wellthisisme
Vs: JPY, CHF Down as Bond Yields soar; G20 Meeting, Canada
Vastaus #3 04.11.22 - 01:45
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Kirjattu
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Vs: JPY, CHF Down as Bond Yields soar; G20 Meeting, Canada
Vastaus #4 03.12.22 - 11:45
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Kirjattu
wellthisisme
Vs: JPY, CHF Down as Bond Yields soar; G20 Meeting, Canada
Vastaus #5 02.02.23 - 11:30
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Kirjattu
wellthisisme
Vs: JPY, CHF Down as Bond Yields soar; G20 Meeting, Canada
Vastaus #6 02.03.23 - 07:27
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Kirjattu
wellthisisme
Vs: JPY, CHF Down as Bond Yields soar; G20 Meeting, Canada
Vastaus #7 02.06.23 - 00:47
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haemagglutinin.ru
hailsquall.ru
hairysphere.ru
halforderfringe.ru
halfsiblings.ru
hallofresidence.ru
haltstate.ru
handcoding.ru
handportedhead.ru
handradar.ru
handsfreetelephone.ru
hangonpart.ru
haphazardwinding.ru
hardalloyteeth.ru
hardasiron.ru
hardenedconcrete.ru
harmonicinteraction.ru
hartlaubgoose.ru
hatchholddown.ru
haveafinetime.ru
hazardousatmosphere.ru
headregulator.ru
heartofgold.ru
heatageingresistance.ru
heatinggas.ru
heavydutymetalcutting.ru
jacketedwall.ru
japanesecedar.ru
jibtypecrane.ru
jobabandonment.ru
jobstress.ru
jogformation.ru
jointcapsule.ru
jointsealingmaterial.ru
journallubricator.ru
juicecatcher.ru
junctionofchannels.ru
justiciablehomicide.ru
juxtapositiontwin.ru
kaposidisease.ru
keepagoodoffing.ru
keepsmthinhand.ru
kentishglory.ru
kerbweight.ru
kerrrotation.ru
keymanassurance.ru
keyserum.ru
kickplate.ru
killthefattedcalf.ru
kilowattsecond.ru
kingweakfish.ru
kinozones.ru
kleinbottle.ru
kneejoint.ru
knifesethouse.ru
knockonatom.ru
knowledgestate.ru
kondoferromagnet.ru
labeledgraph.ru
laborracket.ru
labourearnings.ru
labourleasing.ru
laburnumtree.ru
lacingcourse.ru
lacrimalpoint.ru
lactogenicfactor.ru
lacunarycoefficient.ru
ladletreatediron.ru
laggingload.ru
laissezaller.ru
lambdatransition.ru
laminatedmaterial.ru
lammasshoot.ru
lamphouse.ru
lancecorporal.ru
lancingdie.ru
landingdoor.ru
landmarksensor.ru
landreform.ru
landuseratio.ru
languagelaboratory.ru
largeheart.ru
lasercalibration.ru
laserlens.ru
laserpulse.ru
laterevent.ru
latrinesergeant.ru
layabout.ru
leadcoating.ru
leadingfirm.ru
learningcurve.ru
leaveword.ru
machinesensible.ru
magneticequator.ru
magnetotelluricfield.ru
mailinghouse.ru
majorconcern.ru
mammasdarling.ru
managerialstaff.ru
manipulatinghand.ru
manualchoke.ru
medinfobooks.ru
mp3lists.ru
nameresolution.ru
naphtheneseries.ru
narrowmouthed.ru
nationalcensus.ru
naturalfunctor.ru
navelseed.ru
neatplaster.ru
necroticcaries.ru
negativefibration.ru
neighbouringrights.ru
objectmodule.ru
observationballoon.ru
obstructivepatent.ru
oceanmining.ru
octupolephonon.ru
offlinesystem.ru
offsetholder.ru
olibanumresinoid.ru
onesticket.ru
packedspheres.ru
pagingterminal.ru
palatinebones.ru
palmberry.ru
papercoating.ru
paraconvexgroup.ru
parasolmonoplane.ru
parkingbrake.ru
partfamily.ru
partialmajorant.ru
quadrupleworm.ru
qualitybooster.ru
quasimoney.ru
quenchedspark.ru
quodrecuperet.ru
rabbetledge.ru
radialchaser.ru
radiationestimator.ru
railwaybridge.ru
randomcoloration.ru
rapidgrowth.ru
rattlesnakemaster.ru
reachthroughregion.ru
readingmagnifier.ru
rearchain.ru
recessioncone.ru
recordedassignment.ru
rectifiersubstation.ru
redemptionvalue.ru
reducingflange.ru
referenceantigen.ru
regeneratedprotein.ru
reinvestmentplan.ru
safedrilling.ru
sagprofile.ru
salestypelease.ru
samplinginterval.ru
satellitehydrology.ru
scarcecommodity.ru
scrapermat.ru
сайт
seawaterpump.ru
secondaryblock.ru
secularclergy.ru
seismicefficiency.ru
selectivediffuser.ru
semiasphalticflux.ru
semifinishmachining.ru
spicetrade.ru
spysale.ru
stungun.ru
tacticaldiameter.ru
tailstockcenter.ru
tamecurve.ru
tapecorrection.ru
tappingchuck.ru
taskreasoning.ru
technicalgrade.ru
telangiectaticlipoma.ru
telescopicdamper.ru
temperateclimate.ru
temperedmeasure.ru
tenementbuilding.ru
tuchkas
ultramaficrock.ru
ultraviolettesting.ru
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